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IL-2 Sturmovik: Cliffs of Dover Latest instalment in the acclaimed IL-2 Sturmovik series from award-winning developer Maddox Games.

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Old 11-08-2010, 08:19 PM
kendo65 kendo65 is offline
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Originally Posted by Insuber View Post
I searched a game development glossary with the typical duration of each step. Here are my findings, and if Oleg's "BETA" is a real beta, we are some 4-5 months from Gold master, and (presumably) at least 6-7 months from game relase. Adding the complexity of SoW and the amount of bugs I would add at least 3-4 months to the standard times ... Fall 2011? IMHO of course. I cannot understand how this matches with Oleg's previous forecasts and statements about the budget constraints ... unless we will get a flawed version "à la RoF", which I hope not.

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I will be glad to be proven wrong by Oleg, of course
Not trying to be a smart-arse and sorry for the divergence, but your post brought to mind something called the Drake equation in astronomy - used to 'calculate' the potential number of civilisations in our galaxy. It all looks great, but unfortunately none of the numbers you plug into it are known - they all have to be guessed - with the result that different people with different opinions have used it to produce answers ranging from 1 (just us!) to over 100,000.

I think the margins of error in your conclusion could be nearly as big!

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... Fall 2011? IMHO of course. I cannot understand how this matches with Oleg's previous forecasts and statements about the budget constraints ...
I can...Oleg KNOWS......and you're guessing based on no evidence.

Last edited by kendo65; 11-08-2010 at 09:39 PM.
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Old 11-08-2010, 08:29 PM
swiss swiss is offline
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I think the margins of error in your conclusion could be nearly as big!
Not really. If you have a plan, you have a timeline, and you'll have to stick to it, come hell or high water.
Of course you change it all the time, not sure if that is a result of good management though.
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Old 11-08-2010, 08:30 PM
kendo65 kendo65 is offline
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Not really. If you have a plan, you have a timeline, and you'll have to stick to it, come hell or high water.
Of course you change it all the time, not sure if that is a result of good management though.
I wasn't actually really being that serious
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Old 11-08-2010, 10:46 PM
Insuber Insuber is offline
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I can...Oleg KNOWS......and you're guessing based on no evidence.
No guessing ... guesstimating
At any rate, only who makes a forecast can be wrong ... and forecasts are always wrong , but not SO wrong ... I would say +/-25% in this case. And a last treasure of wisdom... a wrong forecast is better than no forecast ... Augh!
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