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Even though I am German, I doubt that conclusion very much. Germany would have been with Europe already very over stretched, also the States started rather early with their "Manhatten Project". I would say it would have resulted in some European Hiroshimas. As the German leaders at the time where known for making a lot of big blunders, there is no way I would see that it was even vaguely possible to invade either the southern or northern American continent. I think things just would have gotten a step more uglier.
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Wasn't it because of the defeat of Germany that the US was able to finalise the project using those top German scientists? or were they well able just using the scientists they 'collected' from Germany during the course of the war?