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Old 10-19-2010, 02:53 AM
ckdamascus ckdamascus is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Zechnophobe View Post
So, you questioned my math, for that I must defend my honour!

Odds of you NOT getting a rune, assuming two separate rolls for each:

Per battle = 23/25 * 23/25 = .8464 (84.6%)
For 12 battles = .8464^12 = .1351.. (13.5%)
Odds of getting at least one rune = 1-.1351 = 86.4%

You take the inverse, since the odds of something happening + the odds of it NOT happening = 1.
Haha.

I thought it was 8% chance per roll?

And each roll is independent of each other and you have two rolls, wouldn't it be 8% + 8% = 16% of success?

Or, 84% chance of not seeing any action.

I agree with your math, just not sure how you came up with 23/25?
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