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But aren't you seriously over generalizing a bit on the training... sure some airliners don't train nearly of often as they probably should but the "top" airlines have a good record for a reason. |
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Pilot less passenger aircraft are still a long way a way IMHO. Luckily people are still wary of computer controlled vehicles and airliners won't want to go for something passengers are wary of, not yet at least. |
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Future aircraft will be crewed by a pilot and a doberman. The pilot will be there in case there are problems with the automated flight systems. The dog will be there to bite him if he tries to touch anything.
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Shipping and trains are quickly headed that way. Google recenly created a driverless car in which a blind person sat in the drivers seat. BMW is already on top of this as well. See it in youtube.
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Back in the days every machine had its quirks and syllabus, and getting a rating for a pilot was often a costly business: Airbus thought of a modular integration of the same systems on all their machines, with the intent of a cheaper training and an easier pilot type rating, so that an airline company can use their pilots' organic in a more cost effective manner. There's nothing wrong in this, but they had to take certain shortcuts that are potentially very dangerous. As I said before, the ultimate decisional power should stay with the pilot, not with the aircraft, because no matter how "smart", flight computers and their integrated systems lack of a very important thing: a complete situation awareness. Quote:
The 737 holds probably the saddest record in aviation: it's the civilian aircraft with the highest number of unexplained air accidents. A study made by the FAA in the late 90s estimated that the majority of the inexplicable accidents were in fact caused by the crew, not by the aircraft. As you know, any structural issue found on an aircraft nowadays almost immediately grounds all the same models in the whole world until a fix is found. Considering the longevity of the 737, it is safe to assume that virtually pretty much every aspect of fatigue and design flaws has been monitored and fixed, so what really makes it a dependable aircraft is its operational life. The weak link is not the machine per se then, but the quality of training and pilots. Taking decisional power off the crew though is not the way forward. What emerges from the black box of the Airbus flight is scary not only because of the content per se, but because it emerges that the flight computers were following a cycle of action and none of the three trained pilots were situation aware, they did not understand what was happening. |
<tin foil hat on>
I am almost of the belief it's the intention to design these things to be beyond the comprehension of the pilots so they can be blamed for anything that goes wrong and therefore may be eliminated.... <tin foil hat off> |
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Last time I've read something so sadly funny was on the Martin-Baker ejector seat instructions on the Hawk: to eject pull ejection lever, if ejection fails re-pull... well thanks for that! :rolleyes: Nope, not a fan of modern stuff ;) |
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The first procedure for human malfunction is often to collect leftover parts and look for the black box.
Airspace is a controlled sphere. Comparing flight to cars is futile e.g. There aren't many kids or streetracers popping up unpredictably. Most things up there happen in ballistic curves. And unless the pilot is a math genius with a quantum computer as a brain he'll be only second best in many cases. Also there's a lot of automation going on anyways. In space travel obviously - the human margin of error is very expensive and deadly up there. But I also expect cargo flights to be automated soon. As for passenger planes they might keep some puppets just for fun and giggles. On the other hand side it's questionable how much authority a pilot will have over his plane in 20 years or so. Pilots are supposed to be the safety net if the machine fails - but in many cases the pilot is not capable to comprehend what's going on anyways. In fact it's doubtable that a "pilot" who's literally just a passenger 99% of the time is very helpful as his "flight exerience" is mostly just sitting there and drinking coffee. So I'd estimate this order of automation: Cargo planes with almost full automation: soon Passenger flights with almost full automation: will take a while Cars which can navigate and drive almost autonomously: will take a while In the end it's not about if anything can happen. That's always the case. The real problem the industry faces is that they need to offer something that can be sued IF anything goes wrong. (Something other than their company) A pilot was a good thing to have: if he messes up and survives he can be sued. And if not he's dead anyways. A computer? Not so much. The value of it's destruction is not important. |
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P.S. I was under the impression that they could have survived once they eventually realized what was happening but then one of the pilot started to pull up again? |
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What you're doing is like comparing the number of fires put out by firemen to those of automated systems when it's a real fact that not every area, object or building is even outfitted with automated systems to begin with. Planes today aren't even designed to compensante for many of the incidents you speak of. Not to mention that many of these incidents would've still ended up as crashes if it hadn't been for the support through computers and modern systems or even just the improvements in design and building quality. |
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So do you think the airbus in the Hudson would have had a happy outcome without pilots? |
Noob questions: Just how 'flyable' are modern passenger jets, given all the computerised systems?
As in, if everything went wrong, can a pilot take over and fly completely manually, or would he/she be fighting against the computer? Have pilots become far too dependant on aircraft systems, rather than just flying? Got to admit, I have always felt safer in a prop plane than a modern jet airliner! |
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Don't worry kids, you'll find work. After all, my machine will need strong chess player-programmers. You will be the first. *-* (to Karpov & students, 1965) *-* Mikhail Botvinnik
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Of course, that all falls apart if the sensors are not working. Unfortunately, human pilots don't appear to do much better when the sensors aren't working. |
what really surprises me is that this concept of "dual input" actually made it to production planes, what is the sense of it?! The position of your controls is the first information that gets shared between pilot and co-pilot, this is the kind of engineering solution that proves fatal in the wrong scenario :confused:
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A computer could be told to ditch a plane in a river, but would it take obstacles (i.e. boats) into account? Nope, we can't really rely on computers, because the process behind the decision making takes more than fast calculation. |
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and on a final note, no amount of computers will ever replace the human experience, computers and brains work too differently. |
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The megajet has 'no' pilots, you then took us out of the megajet and put us back into a hypothetical jet that does have pilots, therfore not the megajet, the systems I was talking about are the systems the megajet computer relied on to function...its virtual eyes and ears, systems are not controls in this case, a computer that doesn't know where it is isn't going to solve its way out of anything without the super shiny systems you and me designed to help it, a pilot with a window and a yoke and rudders is much better. |
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Another well known fight with Airbus computers and input responses ,
embarrassing for both , pilot and Airbus design : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6QBD-OeNmz0 http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ILWeL...feature=relmfu http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Onwn8...feature=relmfu http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=O4ygB...feature=relmfu http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hYgPV...feature=relmfu Cheers. |
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It's no use having a battle of whits with an unarmed man, Bongo. He has no way of knowing when you've won.
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I win!!!!!!!!!!! |
If we ever do get rid of pilots we're not going to replace them with systems which could go 'fzzzzzt". The systems will be redundant. There will probably be a backup remote control system. And it isn't going to happen for many, many years.
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David.... http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tM-iy...eature=related |
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All great until the remote systems go 'fzzzt', then we just have machines and a world full of backup systems which weigh just as much as a pilots wallet. |
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There is a saying, "German Generals, French Officers and British Soldiers...". This just shows the mental determination of the French officer class. - I believe him!
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Do you think they would implement a system like this without testing in a simulator and comparing the results to human pilots? |
..sometimes I wonder whether David is doing some sort of university research and using this forum as his research playground :rolleyes:
david, no matter how powerful and sensor-loaded you make a computer, if it doesn't have a conscience or a human-like self awareness it won't ever perform like a real pilot. The control of an aircraft was developed to be piloted by humans, the route that Airbus has been advocating so far is unnatural and in many ways incompatible with the human operators. |
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How can they, your design involves sensors that detect ships on the water, they can use a simulator all they like it just ain't the real world, I have no idea what they would do to go down that road, my guess is they will leech the tech from the military and their unmanned programmes. |
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The very first thing they teach you when you learn to fly is that your climb is given not necessarily by your pitch, but firstly by your throttle. The scenario the young pilot found himself in was one where he was applying full throttle and the aircraft wasn't behaving the way he expected it to. He probably panicked and just kept on pulling on the stick because in his Airbus-trained mind that doesn't mean "keep the nose up" but "gain altitude". That's the flaw of the system: you haven't lost control of the plane, because if you apply the right input the plane will come out of the stall, you're applying an input and expecting the plane to do something different. Notice how the whole thing went on for several minutes, it wasn't just a fraction of a second wrong move. The guy really thought he was doing the right thing, and in a way he was, it's the whole malicious way in which Airbus aircraft can behave that is a major cause here, other than the fatal combination of ineptitude of the whole crew. |
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Just like people flying online and expecting miracles - just blaming the machine. Will and physical movement are two different things. Except he WAS trained!
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"The Hun is either at your throat, or at your feet" :D |
To make the best army. ;)
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RAF Museum's Photostream.
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Nice, thank you. I'm sure i searched for them on there before, but found nothing. Baffling.
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an interesting video for all the Me262 aficionados
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VDs1x...eature=related
some of the details shown were very interesting, i.e. the canopy release system, adjustable seat and last but not least the fact that the Revi 16 could be moved out of the way! |
oh to make the 262 a bomber instead of a fighter
nahh i dont believe the nazis to be that stupid thats probably histroy wriiten by the winners or were they tryully that dumb to give the 262 a bomber role? |
Not "they" it was "him".
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That was the plan. The me-262 appeared too late in action to achieve that, by the time they appeared in larger numbers a lot of me-262s were already in the fighter role. Thanks for posting that video! |
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S!
Gröfaz had a great vision about the Me262 for being a "Verteidigung Waffe" aka Weapon of Retaliation thus it was to be a bomber. But too late did Gröfaz approve the fighter role and so on. Nevertheless the world's first operational jet fighter. |
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great video... great plane...
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oh i just thought stern might be anoyed at my threads getting so many answers and his ignored so i tried to help him
does that really make me a troll or a nice guy whos really the troll here? |
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The just had too many irons in the fire. Even then, with the P-51 escorting the bombers to Berlin and back, they couldn't have stopped the massive bombing raids. binky9 |
Restored Avro Anson bomber ready to fly !
Restored Avro Anson bomber ready to fly 1
Link to engine test http://www.stuff.co.nz/nelson-mail/n...r-ready-to-fly |
Nice! Now I'm by no means an Anson expert, but if memory serves the undercarriage rear arm was a bit beefier than that? It always struck me as resembling a steel beam, whilst this one has thing bracing?
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Interesting, most people focus on Galland's comments about the 262 where he talks about Hitlers mistake using it as a bomber.
Galland also believed its use as a fighter could only prolong the war and cause more suffering, he did not believe it would have brought a victory to Germany. Quote:
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Good ol' Dolfo...
sometimes I wonder what these folks went through deep inside, it must have been such a hard experience going through rise and fall and still keep your chin up despite knowing you had fought for one of the cruelest, most sanguinary dictators ever. |
I think that the undercarriage may have been substantially revised over development. According to Wikipedia, the Mk I had manually operated gear "which required no less than 140 turns of the hand crank by the pilot"! Later marks had hydraulic retraction.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Avro_Anson Actually, describing the Anson as a 'bomber' is a little optimistic... |
Ansons, Halifaxs, Stirlings, Hampdens, Whitleys ... so many bombers that saw WWII service that are forgotten these days in favor of the one or two that made it into the movies :D
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Very cool.
It's one of the planes I have wanted to fly in Clod since the beginning. I have a 1/72 scale Airfix model of one that I purchased when I was in London, ahem, 40 years ago this summer. |
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